{"id":40527,"date":"2026-01-14T15:50:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T15:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reveil-info.net\/?p=40527"},"modified":"2026-01-14T15:50:00","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T15:50:00","slug":"libre-opinion-monnaie-unique-de-la-cedeao-un-dilemme-pour-laes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reveil-info.net\/?p=40527","title":{"rendered":"Libre opinion-Monnaie unique de la CEDEAO : Un dilemme pour l\u2019AES ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Apr\u00e8s plusieurs d\u00e9cennies de d\u00e9bats, de reports et de r\u00e9ajustements, la Communaut\u00e9 \u00e9conomique des \u00c9tats de l\u2019Afrique de l\u2019Ouest (C\u00e9d\u00e9ao) a de nouveau fix\u00e9 l\u2019horizon de lancement de sa monnaie unique, l\u2019Eco, \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2027.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e comme un levier majeur d\u2019int\u00e9gration \u00e9conomique, cette monnaie est appel\u00e9e \u00e0 remplacer progressivement les devises nationales des \u00c9tats membres, y compris le franc CFA dans l\u2019espace U\u00e9moa, actuellement arrim\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019euro. Mais ce projet, d\u00e9j\u00e0 complexe dans sa mise en \u0153uvre, se heurte d\u00e9sormais \u00e0 une nouvelle \u00e9quation politique et \u00e9conomique : celle des pays de l\u2019Alliance des \u00c9tats du Sahel (AES) \u2013 le Mali, le Burkina Faso et le Niger \u2013 qui ont officiellement quitt\u00e9 la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao tout en demeurant, pour l\u2019instant, dans la zone franc CFA. D\u00e8s lors, une question centrale se pose : l\u2019Eco est-il encore accessible aux \u00c9tats de l\u2019AES, et \u00e0 quelles conditions ?<\/p>\n

L\u2019objectif affich\u00e9 de l\u2019Eco est clair : faciliter les \u00e9changes et le commerce intrar\u00e9gional en supprimant les co\u00fbts de conversion mon\u00e9taire et les risques de change ; renforcer l\u2019int\u00e9gration \u00e9conomique et la coordination des politiques macro\u00e9conomiques ; stimuler l\u2019investissement r\u00e9gional et r\u00e9duire la d\u00e9pendance structurelle aux devises ext\u00e9rieures, notamment l\u2019euro et le dollar. Dans une r\u00e9gion o\u00f9 le commerce intra-africain demeure structurellement faible, une monnaie commune est per\u00e7ue comme un outil strat\u00e9gique de souverainet\u00e9 \u00e9conomique et de comp\u00e9titivit\u00e9. Toutefois, cette ambition repose sur un pr\u00e9alable incontournable : le respect de crit\u00e8res stricts de convergence macro\u00e9conomique. Pour int\u00e9grer pleinement l\u2019union mon\u00e9taire, les \u00c9tats candidats \u00e0 l\u2019Eco doivent satisfaire des crit\u00e8res pr\u00e9cis : ma\u00eetrise de l\u2019inflation, d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire soutenable, niveau ad\u00e9quat de r\u00e9serves de change, stabilit\u00e9 de la dette publique, entre autres. Ces exigences visent \u00e0 \u00e9viter les d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibres macro\u00e9conomiques susceptibles de fragiliser l\u2019ensemble de l\u2019union.<\/p>\n

Or, les pays de l\u2019AES, confront\u00e9s \u00e0 des d\u00e9fis s\u00e9curitaires majeurs, \u00e0 des sanctions \u00e9conomiques r\u00e9centes et \u00e0 une pression accrue sur leurs finances publiques, sont aujourd\u2019hui objectivement \u00e9loign\u00e9s de ces crit\u00e8res. La question n\u2019est donc pas uniquement politique, mais profond\u00e9ment \u00e9conomique : la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao peut-elle int\u00e9grer dans l\u2019Eco des \u00c9tats qui ne remplissent plus les conditions minimales de convergence ? Sur le plan institutionnel, la situation est in\u00e9dite. Les \u00c9tats de l\u2019AES ne sont plus membres de la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao, mais restent arrim\u00e9s \u00e0 un syst\u00e8me mon\u00e9taire \u2013 le franc CFA \u2013 historiquement g\u00e9r\u00e9 dans un cadre r\u00e9gional et international. Accepter ces pays dans l\u2019Eco reviendrait, de facto, \u00e0 dissocier l\u2019union mon\u00e9taire de l\u2019appartenance politique \u00e0 la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao, ce qui poserait un pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent lourd de cons\u00e9quences.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, exclure durablement l\u2019AES du projet Eco accentuerait la fragmentation \u00e9conomique de l\u2019Afrique de l\u2019Ouest et pourrait affaiblir la port\u00e9e r\u00e9gionale de la future monnaie unique.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Si les pays de l\u2019AES devaient rester en marge de l\u2019Eco, plusieurs sc\u00e9narios se dessinent. Le maintien prolong\u00e9 dans la zone franc CFA poserait un paradoxe politique majeur, au regard du discours souverainiste port\u00e9 par les autorit\u00e9s de transition. La cr\u00e9ation d\u2019une monnaie propre \u00e0 l\u2019AES, souvent \u00e9voqu\u00e9e, impliquerait quant \u00e0 elle des co\u00fbts techniques, institutionnels et financiers consid\u00e9rables, ainsi qu\u2019une cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 internationale difficile \u00e0 construire \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n

Or, dans un contexte de mondialisation fragment\u00e9e, se tenir \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9cart d\u2019une monnaie r\u00e9gionale cens\u00e9e faciliter le commerce intra-africain pourrait p\u00e9naliser durablement les \u00e9conomies sah\u00e9liennes, d\u00e9j\u00e0 fragilis\u00e9es.<\/p>\n

L\u2019Eco appara\u00eet ainsi comme un dilemme strat\u00e9gique pour l\u2019AES : participer \u00e0 une dynamique r\u00e9gionale dont elle s\u2019est politiquement d\u00e9tach\u00e9e, ou assumer une trajectoire mon\u00e9taire autonome aux risques \u00e9lev\u00e9s. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao devra trancher entre orthodoxie \u00e9conomique et pragmatisme g\u00e9opolitique.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 l\u2019approche de 2027, une certitude s\u2019impose : la question mon\u00e9taire sera l\u2019un des principaux champs de recomposition des rapports de force en Afrique de l\u2019Ouest, et l\u2019avenir de l\u2019Eco ne pourra \u00eatre dissoci\u00e9 du sort r\u00e9serv\u00e9 aux \u00c9tats du Sahel.<\/p>\n

Alexis Kalambry<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Reveil-info<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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